
Trump Media Scraps Truth Predict Launch, Opts for Crypto.com Marketing Deal
Trump Media is no longer launching Truth Predict on Truth Social, instead opting for a marketing agreement that directs users to Crypto.com.
Prediction markets continue to rapidly expand in the US, and just wrapped up an impressive feat. According to Fintech Brainfood, the industry generated $111 billion in the second quarter of 2026, which was more than all of 2024 and 2025 combined. Those numbers show that despite facing plenty of controversy, the industry is still growing at an incredible rate.
I have spent time reviewing many of the most popular prediction platforms to determine which popular prediction sites stand out above the rest. I checked for things like availability, fees, markets, unique features, and more.
Below, I’ll rank my top five prediction market platforms and explain why each made the list.
The rise of prediction markets has led to a flood of new platforms being launched over the last year. Below is a table comparing the five platforms I’ve found to be the best.
| Kalshi | Polymarket | DraftKings Predictions | OG.com | Robinhood | |
| Welcome Bonus | N/A | Deposit $10, Earn $20 in bonus credits | Spend $5, get $150 in Predictions Dollars | $10 Deposit Bonus | N/A |
| Trading Mechanism | Continuous order-book pricing | Hybrid | Continuous order-book pricing | Peer-to-peer make/take matching | Peer-to-peer make/take matching |
| Top Markets Available |
Politics, Sports, Culture, Crypto, Commodities |
Politics, Sports, Crypto, Esports, Finance |
Sports, Stock Market, Economics, Politics, Business |
Politics, Economics, Culture, Financial, Sports |
Sports, Politics, Climate, Commodities, Crypto |
| Fee Model | Formula based | Taker fee | Flat per-contract | Tiered flat | Flat per-contract |
| Trading Fees |
0.07% - 1.75% (Can include maker fee up to 0.44%) | 0.10% | $0.01 - $0.02 (varies by contract price) | $0.02 to open contract, $0.02 to exit contract early | $0.02 |
| Funding Methods |
Fiat & Crypto | Fiat & Crypto | Fiat-only | Fiat & Crypto | Fiat-only |
| Payout Speed |
Most process within 24 hours Bank transfers can take up to 3 days |
Most process within 24 hours Bank transfers can take up to 4 days |
Debit, e-wallets within 48 hours Online banking can take up to 7 days |
RTP Online banking within 24 hours |
Most process within 48 hours Online banking can take up to 3 days |
| Restricted States |
NV, MI |
AZ, CT, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, TN, UT, WA |
All markets: ME, NH Financial only: AR, AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, MT, NV, OH, PA, TN, WA No sports: CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, MA, MD, MO, MS NC, NJ, NY, OR, VA, VT, WI, WV, WY, PR |
All markets: AZ, NY No sports: IL, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NV, OH |
All markets: MD No sports: NJ, NV |
| Minimum Age |
18+ |
18+ |
18+ |
18+ |
18+ |
| Minimum Deposit |
$10 |
$10 |
$5 |
$10 |
$10 |
Of all the prediction markets I tried, Kalshi offered one of the smoothest experiences I’ve found when testing the top prediction market apps. The home page isn’t as cluttered as many of its rivals and offers a top menu to easily navigate between categories. I also appreciated the 24/7 live chat, which is incredibly helpful for customers new to prediction markets.
Kalshi offers a wide array of both fiat and crypto payments. It accepts standard methods like debit cards and bank transfers, but also allows customers to link their crypto wallets.
At a time when the prediction market industry is facing an uncertain future, Kalshi offers stability for customers. It continues to fight against state restrictions, ensuring the Kalshi prediction platform remains available in over 40 states and at the forefront of the industry.
| Pros | Cons |
| Combos feature | Limited promotions |
| iOS & Android Apps | Higher trading fees |
| 24/7 chat feature |
I entered my testing of Polymarket as a bit of a skeptic, but walked away wondering why more people aren’t using it. The platform offers low trading fees and a wide variety of markets, including those involving the latest news and topics. It also offers parlay-style “combos,” which are especially nice when playing sports markets.
The biggest drawback I found was Polymarket’s layout, which feels crowded and a bit overwhelming. However, it also offers a rotating widget that shares some of the latest headlines from major news sources. This provides a significant resource for customers looking at economic and political markets, allowing them to easily research markets before making any transactions.
While this feature wasn’t active during my review, Polymarket has partnered with Genius Sports to offer live streaming of sports events. The new offering will go live in August 2026, and will make the operator the first prediction platform to have it.
Polymarket ran afoul of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in 2022, facing fines and a cease-and-desist order. However, the operator was open and helpful with the investigation, leading most penalties to be reduced. The regulator approved Polymarket to relaunch in 2025, making it a legal and safe option for customers.
| Pros | Cons |
| Low trading fees | Overcrowded homepage |
| iOS & Android Apps | No responsible gambling tools |
| Live news feed |
One of the best things about DraftKings Predictions was its similarity to the operator’s industry-leading sportsbooks. It even uses traditional odds instead of percentages, which are common with prediction-only operators like Kalshi and Polymarket. This familiarity makes it easy for new prediction players to get started, even if they are focusing on non-sports markets.
DraftKings beats out other sportsbooks offering prediction markets because of its all-inclusive platform. Players can easily switch between the sportsbooks, prediction, DFS, and horse racing platforms. This feature is especially nice when traveling, as the platform automatically adjusts its offerings based on local laws where a player is located.
As much as I like DraftKings Predictions, there are two important drawbacks to keep in mind. The first is market availability, with the operator focusing heavily on sports. While many other categories are available, they are more limited than the other popular prediction sites.
The second is DraftKings’ sportsbook business, which relies on good relationships with the states. The operator had been avoiding being included in lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, but that changed in August 2026. With its massive sports betting platform potentially at risk, DraftKings could be quicker to pull its prediction platform out of markets than its peers.
| Pros | Cons |
| Sportsbook-style platform | Limited non-sports markets |
| All-in-one mobile app | Restricted in more markets |
| Excellent customer service |
Crypto.com stepped up its presence in the prediction industry by launching OG.com in February 2026, making it its official prediction-only platform. While some markets are still available on crypto.com, OG offers far more markets, earning it a spot on my list of the best prediction market sites.
OG stood out to me thanks to its crypto markets, which cover 17 different forms of the virtual currency. I have not found a platform that offers more, making it the top option for players looking to cash in on crypto. However, that isn’t the only reason OG made my list.
I also really enjoyed using Alpha, which is OG’s AI assistant. It can help you locate markets and build trade slips with ease. I spent a lot of time using and testing Alpha and found it incredibly helpful. That’s why OG has become my go-to recommendation for new prediction players, who can use Alpha to learn the ropes.
Players looking for markets on culture and financials may want to look elsewhere, as OG's offerings were underwhelming compared to the other top prediction market apps.
| Pros | Cons |
| 17 Crypto markets | Low welcome bonus |
| 300+ sports contracts available | Fees on some deposit methods |
| Alpha AI assistant |
Robinhood’s platform stands out by offering a more organized home page, which contains a scrolling menu with popular markets. It also offers a clean-look top menu to help players navigate to the markets they are interested in. I especially enjoyed the drop-down menus at the top, which let you preview which markets are available in each category without having to leave your current page.
One of my favorite features when using Robinhood was the timeline provided when purchasing contracts. When selecting a contract, players can scroll down to see an estimated timeline, which includes when the event is, when the contract will resolve, and when a payout would be made. This is a small but unique feature that makes Robinhood one of the best prediction market sites available.
While Robinhood offers a deep catalog of markets, I found it to be surprisingly short on those involving crypto. It offered just seven markets at the time of this writing, which is half of the amount offered by rivals like OG.
| Pros | Cons |
| Excellent stock trading platform | Limited crypto markets |
| Estimated timelines for contracts | No crypto payment options |
| 15-minute markets |
Michael SavioOne thing that stood out while testing the best prediction market apps is that some platforms don’t run their own markets. Instead, they build a platform and partner with an exchange that sets markets and pricing. While some brokers use multiple exchanges, others partner with just one, meaning pricing is often identical. One of the most prominent examples involves Robinhood, which simply acts as a broker with its prediction platform. It uses markets from several regulated exchanges, including Kalshi.
The prediction market platforms in the table below narrowly missed my list, but offer fantastic prediction platforms that are well worth checking out.
| Platform | What makes it great? |
| FanDuel Predicts | The platform is similar to FanDuel’s world-class sportsbook, making it easier for bettors who are new to prediction markets. |
| Fanatics Markets | Fanatics puts a strong emphasis on responsible gambling, providing plenty of tools and help for players in need. However, it also sets its minimum age at 21. |
| Novig | This sports-only platform is an excellent alternative to online sportsbooks, using a similar layout and traditional betting odds. This makes Novig a great options for players in markets without legal sports betting |
| ProphetX | A sports-only platform that accepts crypto deposits and is available in states without legal sports betting. ProphetX contracts will also soon be available on EPICK Fantasy. |
| Coinbase | Coinbase offers 13 market categories for players to choose from. That includes a deep offering of sports markets, which include niche options, such as cricket, darts, and even chess. |
| Sleeper Markets | Sleeper’s sports-only prediction platform works hand-in-hand with Sleeper’s popular fantasy sports app. Players who use the DFS platform can easily buy contracts involving their team. |
| WeBull | WeBull offers low trading fees, and excellent charting thanks to its thriving trading platform. It offers a wide range of markets, and a detailed FAQ section to help new players get started with ease. |
Yes, prediction markets are legal and protected under federal law. Since the contracts offered are considered a form of market “swaps,” prediction platforms are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As a result, they are not subject to state gambling laws and taxes.
More than a dozen states are actively pushing to gain regulatory authority over the industry. They have filed lawsuits against operators, accusing them of offering an illegal form of gambling. While prediction platforms remain available in most US markets as the legal battles play out, court rulings can quickly change that.
If you have questions about the legality of prediction markets where you live, check out our prediction market legal tracker page showing the latest status.
The markets on these platforms are posed as questions, with players able to purchase “yes/no” contracts. The price for these contracts is based on the market, meaning players are competing against each other instead of the “house.” It also means prices can shift greatly as contracts are purchased ahead of an event.

Contracts run between $0.01-$0.99 per share, with the original cost being set based on implied probability. Winning contracts will pay out $1 per share, while losing ones will receive $0. Any winnings will be automatically added to your account.
Players can exit a position by selling their contract before an event begins.

While prediction markets feel similar to sportsbooks, the betting mechanics make them very different and help avoid the legal designation of gambling.
Unlike sportsbooks, prediction platforms allow players to bet on far more than sports. Below are some of the most popular categories offered by the best prediction market sites.
While people use prediction markets to trade on a wide range of categories, sports has become the main revenue driver for operators. As a result, operators have vastly expanded their sports markets over the last year. Polymarket and Kalshi were two of the biggest advertisers during the 2026 World Cup, showing their commitment to the category.
Of my top five prediction market sites, DraftKings stands out from the rest. Its success in the regulated sports betting industry helps, giving players a familiar sportsbook-style experience from a trusted brand.
Prediction market sites have also seen a lot of volume from trades involving political markets. Players can purchase contracts involving elections from the city, state, and federal levels. The industry saw a lot of volume from the 2024 general election, and is expecting even more during the November 2026 midterms.
When testing popular prediction sites, I found Polymarket to be the best option for political markets. Its catalog of markets matches industry-leading Kalshi, and its low trading fees mean players spend less money.
Over the last year, markets involving economics and finance have taken off. Players can make yes/no predictions on things like oil prices and interest rates. While the number of markets available varies throughout the year, there are always some available to keep financial bettors busy.
While Kalshi makes headlines over its sports markets, its offerings involving economics and finances are unmatched. Players can find markets involving the biggest topics, plus many niche ones, such as the future cost of a medium coffee at Dunkin Donuts.
Markets involving topics around culture have become incredibly popular in the US. Players can make predictions on awards, box office numbers, and top Google searches. This offers less-serious topics that won’t actually affect a player’s regular life.
Of all the top prediction market apps, I enjoyed Robinhood’s culture markets the most. They offer fewer markets than rivals like Kalshi and Polymarket, but cover the biggest topics. That makes the category far less cluttered, making it easier to navigate and purchase contracts.
Crypto culture has grown exponentially over the last decade, which is why the category has been a popular option for prediction betting. These markets allow players to predict the price for different cryptocurrencies over varying periods of time. This provides an exciting way to monitor the crypto industry, even for players who aren’t invested in it.
If you’re eager to play crypto markets, I highly recommend OG.com. The Crypto.com-operated platform offers markets for 17 different forms of crypto, which is the most of any platform on my list. The section is easy to navigate, allowing for smoother transactions.
Low headline fees don’t guarantee a platform will offer better pricing than its rivals. Headline fees, bid-ask spreads, and liquidity all play a significant role in how much a transaction will actually cost you. Understanding each of these can help you minimize costs and increase potential winnings.
Headline fees are those charged for processing a transaction and are openly advertised by prediction market companies. Platforms assess these fees in different ways, including as a flat rate or a percentage of winnings. These fees are applied to all transactions, regardless of a market’s volume.
These fees are fairly easy to understand, but can also be misleading. A platform with a low fee but a small user base can end up costing players more than using a rival with higher ones. That makes it critical to assess all three of these areas, and not just the headline fees.
The bid-ask spread involves purchasing and then selling a contract before it is resolved. It calculates the gap in pricing between the highest bidder and the lowest price a seller is willing to take for a contract. Small spreads mean players can exit their position without losing much value, but larger ones result in significant losses.
If you’re looking to trade active contracts while using prediction markets, focus on markets with small bid-ask spreads to help save you some serious money over time.
Liquidity refers to how large purchases can affect the overall price of a contract. Markets that don’t see much action lead to low liquidity, which can drastically change a contract's pricing. Busy markets have higher liquidity, causing prices to remain fairly stable as contracts are purchased.
Making a large purchase in a low-liquidity market can zap the value of your contract as soon as you purchase it. As a result, players can't exit their positions without losing a significant amount of their purchase.
If you’re ready to give prediction markets a try but aren’t sure how to get started, I have you covered. Below is a step-by-step guide to help you through the process.







Michael SavioFans of sportsbooks should be careful when purchasing contracts from popular prediction sites, as purchasing a contract requires some extra clicks. Many platforms ask players to submit the transaction, confirm it, and then agree to acknowledgments around fair play. I wasn’t quite used to this when testing Kalshi, and ended up leaving several contracts sitting in my cart thinking I had placed them. To avoid making the same mistake, I recommend taking your time when making your first few transactions until you’re used to the process.
There are some common mistakes many new prediction market players often make. Below are some of the biggest ones to avoid when getting started.
Yes! The prediction market industry is protected under the federal Commodity Exchange Act. This qualifies prediction market contracts as a form of “swaps” instead of gambling. While several states are fighting against the industry, it remains legal under US federal law.
Yes, as long as you choose a properly CFTC-licensed operator. This means the federal regulator backs the platform and can help if it violates any laws. However, prediction markets inherently carry risk, just like sportsbooks and online casinos.
There are several prediction market platforms that accept cryptocurrency for deposits and withdrawals, but it is not the industry standard. Far more operators accept fiat payments, which typically include debit cards, e-wallets, and online banking.
In most cases, popular markets can offer a safer experience for players. That’s because the pricing won’t dramatically shift after large purchases, meaning liquidity remains high. It also narrows the bid-ask spread, ensuring players can keep more value when exiting their position.
Instead of playing against the house, prediction players are matching up against each other. This key distinction allows them to set pricing based on a market, instead of setting odds through a bookmaker. These distinctions allow the industry to fall under the category of “swaps” instead of gambling.
Yes, though the amount you’ll receive can vary greatly. Players can exit their positions up until a contract resolves, allowing them to recover some of their initial investment. Those interested in selling contracts should look for active markets with high liquidity and a low bid-ask spread.
While prediction markets are restricted in some states, federal law allows them to operate in markets where casino and sports betting remain illegal. Since the industry isn’t considered to be gambling, it is exempt from state laws banning it. This includes California and Texas, which are massive markets without any forms of legal online betting.
While some operators require players to be 21, most prediction market sites set their minimum at 18. That includes sports markets, despite the regulated sports betting industry mostly setting its age at 21.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.

Trump Media is no longer launching Truth Predict on Truth Social, instead opting for a marketing agreement that directs users to Crypto.com.

DraftKings is preparing to introduce "combos," a parlay-style product that would allow prediction market traders to combine multiple outcomes.

The CFTC is ordering Kalshi to continue operating its event contract markets as New York seeks to stop the prediction market platform.

The Nevada Council on Problem Gambling is severing ties with the national organization over its relationship with prediction market Kalshi.

Kalshi's Head of Enforcement, Robert DeNault, defended the platform's business model as it faces an ongoing legal battle in New York.

A federal judge has sided with Utah in its legal battle with Kalshi, ruling that federal law doesn't prevent the state from enforcing its gambling laws.

Novig has launched its federally regulated sports prediction market while simultaneously taking legal action against New York regulators.

Genius Sports has struck a deal with Kalshi to provide official sports data and integrity services shortly after partnering with Polymarket.

Genius Sports will provide Polymarket with official sports data, live streaming rights, and integrity services for its U.S. platform.

The London-based fintech company will acquire Underdog in a deal designed to expand its U.S. prediction markets business.

State gaming lawmakers adopted a resolution calling on Congress to clarify that prediction markets should be regulated as gambling.

The ruling pauses Minnesota's first-in-the-nation prediction market ban while the legal challenge moves forward.

A settlement with Nevada regulators requires Kalshi to stop offering several prediction markets in the state by Aug. 12.

Nevada lawmakers have introduced legislation to ban sports event contracts on prediction market platforms.

They brand themselves as financial instruments, which allow users to compete in a peer-to-peer system without house-imposed vigs.

The DFS operator has transitioned from third-party exchanges to operating its own prediction market platform.

The ruling marks another legal setback for Kalshi as states challenge sports event contracts.

House Bill 904 introduces several changes to Kentucky sports betting, including a higher minimum age.

Investigators allege the White House staffer profited from nonpublic knowledge of presidential speeches.

UNLV law professor Danielle Finn says tribal and state gaming interests, usually at odds, are now aligned against prediction markets — with over 20 lawsuits alleging violations of federal Indian gaming law and billions in lost tax revenue at stake.