Significant Public Resistance and Economic Doubts
Despite the National Institute of Development Administration (NIDA) reporting a slight dip in opposition, the casino bill still faces over 50% public resistance. This has prompted the government to scale back any immediate plans.
The Senate’s review further jeopardizes the bill. Committee Chair Veerapun Suvannamai warned that it breaches several sections of the 2017 Constitution by framing casinos as entertainment without explicit acknowledgement. Veerapun pushed for the withdrawal of the legislation, noting its potential invalidation by the Constitutional Court.
Economically, the panel cited declining global casino revenues and National Economic Council data, casting doubt on projected GDP gains. “Most profits benefit private investors, not the state,” Veerapun pointed out, challenging tax revenue estimates. He also dismissed claims that regulated casinos would curb illegal gambling, arguing that requiring gamblers to have THB50 million would sideline most of the local population.
Coalition Fallout
The casino bill has caused rifts within the former ruling alliance, with Bhumjaithai leader Anutin Charnvirakul citing it as pivotal to their exit. The Bhumjaithai Party’s exit from the ruling coalition was also influenced by a fatal border clash with Cambodian forces and a leaked call of Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra criticizing her military.
Anutin challenged the legislation’s societal value, questioning, “Who really benefits? What do ordinary Thais gain?” He highlighted the risks of increased crime and family instability, arguing that casinos could increase rather than resolve social problems. Anutin stressed Thailand should leverage its “unique strengths” instead and noted reluctance among other coalition partners to endorse the bill.
A Calculated Delay
While PM Shinawatra has paused the casino bill amid resignation demands and sustained public opposition, she terms it a tactical delay to sway public opinion. The ruling party emphasized that the hiatus will clarify how gaming resorts can elevate national tourism. It predicts a 20% surge in foreign arrivals and an additional THB22,000 (US$675) per visitor.
