Meeting Fiscal Targets
According to official data, Macau's gaming tax revenue reached MOP61.9 billion (US$7.71 billion) in the first eight months of 2025, a 5.3% year-on-year increase. These taxes accounted for 86% of the government's total revenue of MOP72 billion (US$9 billion) during the period. This reaffirms the sector's critical role in the SAR's public finances.
With MOP88.56 billion (US$11 billion) projected for the whole year, authorities have already secured over two-thirds of the target by August. As a result, the region is expected to meet or exceed its annual expectations by year's end. The trajectory is also likely to surpass the government's MOP228 billion GGR forecast, which was adjusted downward by 5% earlier this year.
GGR Nears Pre-Pandemic Levels
The gaming sector in Macau recorded a 12.2% year-on-year increase in GGR to MOP22.16 billion (US$2.76 billion) in August, the highest monthly total since January 2020. Cumulative GGR for the first eight months of 2025 reached MOP163.05 billion (US$20.34 billion), up 7.2% compared to the same period in 2024.
The August surge broke July's GGR record, which represented a 19% YoY increase. The growth reflects intensified marketing efforts and event-driven tourism under Macau's 10-year concession plan. The system was implemented in 2023 and mandates a 40% tax on GGR, which has become a cornerstone of the government's financial resources as the sector rebounds to pre-pandemic levels.
Rising Growth Forecasts
Market analysts have revised their 2025 Macau gaming revenue predictions upward. Jefferies Hong Kong forecasts full-year GGR at MOP$248 billion and CLSA estimates HKD254.7 billion (US$30.6 billion). Jefferies predicts a 9.5% annual growth, driven by a 13.8% Q3 surge and at least 15.3% in Q4.