DraftKings Sportsbook Pursuing License to Offer Predictions Market

Photo by SecretName101, CC BY-SA 4.0
Key Takeaways
- DraftKings would be the first sports betting operator to enter the industry
- The sports betting industry has argued that these markets qualify as gambling
- The CFTC is currently investigating the predictions market industry
The emerging sports predictions market may be about to get far more competitive.
DraftKings has applied with the National Futures Association (NFA) to begin offering a sports predictions market. If the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulator approves the application, the operator can launch their new DraftKings Predict platform. They would be the first sports betting operator to enter the emerging industry.
There is no estimated approval date as of yet.
DraftKings Looking to Stay Ahead of Rivals
The American sports betting market has become incredibly competitive, leaving operators looking for new ways to compete. DraftKings believes it has found that in the sports predictions markets, where no other sportsbooks currently operate.
While DraftKings has been eager to enter the market for some time, not all its rivals feel the same way. They believe that prediction markets should qualify as gambling and be subject to the same rules and taxation. Some operators are even attempting to end the industry altogether to protect their own.
How a Sports Predictions Market Works
Many sports betting industry experts have argued that sports prediction markets are a form of legal gambling, and with good reason. These markets allow users to purchase “contracts” for a player or team to win an event. Those contracts rise in value if they win, like being paid out on a bet.
These markets appeal to many people looking for another way to bet on sports. They feel their odds are better than with sportsbooks, allowing them to win bigger payouts.
Predictions Market Offerings Under Federal Scrutiny
Over the last year, these controversial new markets have begun to pop up in the US. They became prominent this winter when several platforms offered markets for Super Bowl LIX. While this drew many new customers in, it also gained the attention of the CFTC.
The federal department is investigating these markets and has issued orders for operators to halt them until it is completed. The concern is that the new industry could further expand the rise in problem gambling as users don’t have the protections offered by sportsbooks and regulators.
It seemed the CFTC would shut these markets down before the White House's leadership changed, but that is no longer the case. Several new leaders have spoken out favoring sports prediction markets, and funding and staffing have suffered drastic cuts.
Apparently, DraftKings believes the CFTC will drop the investigation, allowing it to become the first sportsbook to enter the market.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.
Related News

Nebraska Sports Betting Petition Passes After Investigation
A petition to put online sports betting in Nebraska on the ballot in November has been approved. The news comes after the Secretary of State announced a signature fraud investigation into it and several other active petitions.

DraftKings Sportsbook Extends Deal to Remain in Kansas
DraftKings Sportsbook has extended its retail and online sports betting partnerships with Butler National’s Boot Hill Casino in Kansas. The deal will remain in place until at least 2030. DraftKings remains the most popular online sportsbook in the state.

MGC Opens Investigation into Cardinals’ Suspended Scout
The Massachusetts Gaming Commission has announced a new investigation into an Arizona Cardinals scout over illegal gambling. It is focusing on unusual betting activity around the 2026 NFL Draft, as well as allegations of betting on college and pro games.

New Jersey Regulator Reports Record Sports Betting Handle for July
New Jersey saw a record-high July sports betting handle that generated around $20 million for the state. The knockout stages of the 2026 World Cup helped boost the numbers, with the tournament’s final match being held in New Jersey.

Fanatics Sportsbook Lands Big Win with Multi-Year NFL Partnership
Fanatics is becoming the NFL's new sports betting partner, replacing Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. The two sides announced a retail partnership back in April, signaling more could be coming. The deal also includes Fanatics Casino, but is not exclusive.

Arizona Regulator Approves Circa to Launch Online Sportsbook
The Arizona Department of Gambling has approved Circa Sports' application for an online sports betting license. It gained market access through a partnership with the San Juan Southern Paiute's sports, replacing Betway, which exited the US in 2024.

Patience On Sports Betting May Pay Off for California Tribes
California tribal leaders have targeted 2028 for a new effort to legalize sports betting. While the state has been criticized for its inability to legalize the industry, there are a few reasons why the timing may ultimately pay off.

Missouri Tax Rate Under Fire Again After Disappointing June
Missouri’s sports betting market saw a drop in revenue and overall handle in June, despite hosting World Cup matches. The disappointing results may soon restart talks of raising the state’s tax rate for sportsbooks, which failed earlier this year.

Lawsuit Filed Challenging Wisconsin’s New Online Betting Law
A conservative Wisconsin group has filed a lawsuit challenging Wisconsin’s proposed online sports betting market. It alleges that the state violated several laws by expanding gambling without a public vote and handing sole licensing rights over to the tribes.

Delta, DraftKings Launch Controversial New SkyPicks Game
Delta and DraftKings have launched a new SkyPicks game where players can make predictions on games by answering a series of “yes/no” questions for a chance to win Delta gift cards. However, critics fear it could fuel problem gambling.

Poll: NC Residents OK With Sportsbooks, But Not Predictions
A North Carolina poll conducted by Meredith College found that residents were happy with regulated sports betting, but support a ban on prediction markets. It also showed growing concern over how sports betting is impacting underage bettors and college athletes.

Smoke From Wildfires Could Impact Sunday’s World Cup Final
Smoke from Canadian wildfires is pouring into New Jersey, where the World Cup Final will be held on Sunday. FIFA isn’t preparing to move or delay the match, meaning players will have to deal with poor breathing conditions on Sunday.

North Carolina Sports Betting Tax Revenue Drops Ahead of Hike
North Carolina’s sports betting market saw a drop in tax revenue in June, one month before the state’s recently approved tax hike goes into effect. The drop was attributed to high bettor win rates during the World Cup and NHL Playoffs.

Delaware Lottery Announces Launch of New Sports Betting Kiosks
The Delaware Lottery has launched 89 new self-service sports betting kiosks at official retailers across the state. They will offer more wagering options, giving many residents far easier access to sports betting, despite concerns about problem gambling.

South Africans Wager Record Amounts as Online Betting Boom Continues
South Africa's gambling industry continues to expand at a rapid pace, with recent figures showing record levels of betting activity across the country. Online wagering remains the primary growth driver, as mobile technology and increased digital adoption reshape the gambling landscape.

One Year Later, Illinois Per-Wager Tax is Still Going Strong
Illinois per-wager tax just celebrated its first anniversary since launching last summer. While fewer bets are being placed, the revenue for sportsbooks and the state continues to rise. Will that success lead more states to follow Illinois’ lead?

Will Missouri’s Sports Betting Growth End Tax Hike Efforts?
Missouri’s sports betting market delivered strong numbers in June, setting a record handle. The success comes after months of disappointing revenue for the state, prompting calls to raise taxes on sportsbooks. Will May’s numbers be enough to end that effort?

The Mystery of Table Tennis Betting’s Success in Colorado
The Colorado Division of Gambling’s May revenue report shows that table tennis saw more wagers than soccer and hockey. We dug into the numbers to find out why the niche sport is so popular among bettors in the Centennial State.

Nebraska Petitions Supporting Online Betting Submitted
Tax Relief Nebraska has submitted signatures to put online sports betting on the ballot this November. The effort comes after years of legislative deadlock over the issue, and amid growing concerns over the impact of sports prediction markets.

Sportsbet Cleared by AUSTRAC After Completing AML Remediation Programme
Sportsbet has successfully completed a major anti-money laundering remediation programme, marking an important milestone for Australia's largest online bookmaker. The development highlights the growing focus regulators are placing on compliance and financial crime prevention across the gambling sector.

CFTC Announces Investigation Into Polymarket Ad Campaign
The CFTC has opened an investigation over social media ad campaign from Polymarket. The move comes after the Wall Street Journal released a report showing the operator was asking social media influencers to promote fake wins on its sports markets.

NRL Clubs Face Gambling Sponsorship Shake-Up Under New Australian Reforms
Australia's proposed gambling advertising reforms could dramatically change the relationship between sports betting companies and professional rugby league clubs. Several NRL teams may be forced to remove betting sponsors from jerseys and other club assets as the government moves to tighten gambling advertising rules.

New Mexico Rep Asks Tribes to Open Talks Over Mobile Betting
New Mexico Rep. John Block has asked the tribes to open talks over legalizing mobile sports betting. He cited the growth of federally regulated sports prediction markets, which offer residents a legal way to wager on sports.

North Carolina Lawmakers Approve Bill to Help Audit Bettors
North Carolina lawmakers passed a bill proposing new tax reporting requirements for sportsbooks. The goal is to help the state audit gambling winnings claimed on tax returns, keeping residents honest while also boosting tax revenue generated by the industry.

NFL Rebuffs Sorsby’s Request to Enter Supplemental Draft
The NFL announced it will be canceling the 2026 supplemental draft due to Brendan Sorsby. In a letter to the quarterback, officials expressed concerns that he was attempting to sidestep his gambling violations. Sorsby’s attorney promised to challenge the decision.

South African Regulator Warns About Fake Betting Apps
South African gambling authorities are urging consumers to stay alert as fake betting apps and cloned gambling websites target sports fans during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Regulators say scammers are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their attempts to imitate legitimate operators.

Prediction Markets Sue Kentucky Over Tax on Transaction Fees
The Coalition for Fair Markets has sued Kentucky over its new 14.25% tax on prediction operators passed by lawmakers back in April. The group argues the tax is discriminatory, despite Kentucky cracking down on all forms of sports betting.

Wisconsin Opens Talks With Tribes to Launch Mobile Betting
Wisconsin’s Governor has opened talks with 11 local tribes to negotiate the launch of mobile sports betting. The two sides need to agree on a legal framework for the new market, including revenue-sharing requirements for commercial operators.

Nevada Rep Calls Out CFTC Over Sports Prediction Markets
Nevada Rep. Dina Titus called out the CFTC’s defense of prediction markets on social media, accusing the regulator of corruption. She rejected the regulator’s proposed regulations for the industry and called for Congress to take action to rein it in.

New Mexico Files Lawsuit Against Kalshi Over Sports Markets
New Mexico has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi over its sports prediction markets, arguing they violate state laws. It closely resembles lawsuits from several other states who have also targeted Kalshi and its rivals over the last year.

Court Ruling on Sorsby Scandal Creates Nightmare for NCAA
A Texas court ruling will allow Brenden Sorsby to play for Texas Tech this upcoming season, despite placing over 1,000 wagers with online sportsbooks in the last four years. The ruling sets a dangerous precedent that could haunt the NCAA.

Illinois Lawmakers Approve New Tax for Sports Contracts
Illinois lawmakers have approved a budget that will add a new per-transaction tax on sports contracts. The tax was added despite the state not having legal authority to enforce it, and is likely to result in more lawsuits from the industry.

Arkansas Sees Record Handle After Sports Betting Expansion
Arkansas sports betting placed over $100 million in wagers in April, setting a new monthly record. The success came as FanDuel and DraftKings had its first full month in the market, though they didn’t contribute much tax revenue.

