Nevada Takes Action Against Controversial Prediction Markets

Michael Savio
By: Michael Savio
Sports Betting
Photo by King of Hearts, CC BY-SA 3.0

Photo by King of Hearts, CC BY-SA 3.0

Key Takeaways

  • The NGCB has ordered Kalshi to cease all sports prediction markets
  • Prediction markets can operate outside of the sports betting industry
  • The federal government has yet to decide if these markets are a form of gambling

The Silver State is done waiting for the federal government to take action.

The Nevada Gaming Control Board (NGCB) has issued a cease-and-desist letter to KalshiEX LLC. The letter orders the trading company to cease all prediction markets related to sports betting. The NGCB says the company is violating state law, despite the federal government refusing to rein in the emerging industry. 

If Khalshi rejects the order, it could set up one of the most significant legal battles over sports betting since the overturning of PASPA.

Prediction Markets Mirror Sports Betting
The US has seen a significant uptick in prediction markets around sporting events over the last year. These markets allow investors to purchase contracts for a team to win an event. Their shares increase if they win, like being paid out for a winning bet. 

Several major trading companies offered prediction markets during Super Bowl LIX, which led to an outcry from lawmakers, regulators, and the major sportsbooks.

Nevada Fights to Protect Gaming Industry
It isn’t surprising that Nevada became the first state to launch these prediction markets. The state has built its economy on legal gambling for decades, becoming a destination for bettors worldwide. As a result, the state has been protective of its hometown sportsbooks owned or linked to its many casinos and resorts.

Many Nevada-based gambling operators have felt the impact of legal sports betting expanding across the US. While the state has done a good job limiting outside operators from entering the market, bettors from outside the state no longer need to visit the market just to bet on sports. 

The legal gray area where prediction markets exist has allowed those companies to enter states like Nevada while skirting the regulations and rules of the sports betting industry. This is taking even more business away from the state’s sportsbooks, leading to the NGCB taking action.

A New Fuel for the Rise in Problem Gambling

Lawmakers at every level of government have begun to sound the alarm over sports prediction markets. Many believe the industry is offering sports betting without having to pay the licensing fees or follow the regulations that sportsbooks do. This could help fuel the rise in problem gambling without any oversight or protections.

Unfortunately, the current leadership in the White House does not seem interested in ending these controversial trading markets. The regime has been supportive of those companies and has shown little concern for the rise in problem gambling. While that could change, Nevada was unwilling to wait for federal assistance.

Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.