Will Prediction Markets Be Available for the 2026 World Cup?

Michael Savio
By: Michael Savio
Aug 21, 2025
World Cup 2026
Photo by forextime.com, CC BY 2.0

Photo by forextime.com, CC BY 2.0

Key Takeaways

  • Sports prediction markets are currently legal in the US
  • Several tribes and state regulators have taken legal action against these markets.
  • Each US state sets its own rules and regulations for sports betting

The thriving US sports betting industry is under fire ahead of the 2026 World Cup.

A new rival has emerged over the last year in the form of sports prediction markets. These platforms offer a way for customers to wager on sports, but without being qualified as gambling. This allows operators to avoid the heavy taxes and regulations that sportsbooks face, giving them the ability to offer a cheaper form of betting.

With lawsuits against the emerging industry continuing to pile up, many are wondering if they will be available for next summer’s World Cup.

Sportsbooks Can’t Compete

While prediction markets and sportsbooks both allow customers to win money by predicting the outcome of an event, that is where the similarities end. Betting sites are subjected to heavy taxes and regulations, which vary between states. While these allow for a competitive market among operators, that isn’t the case when compared to sports prediction markets.

Prediction market operators aren’t subjected to any state taxes, allowing them to retain far more of their profits. They also offer a lower minimum age, the ability to use cryptocurrency, and very few regulations for bettors. Sportsbooks can’t legally come close to matching those offerings, leading many customers to make the switch.

Legal Battle Rages On

As popular as sports prediction markets have been, the industry has been under fire from tribes and state gaming regulators. Many lawsuits have been filed, arguing that these controversial markets are a clear form of sports betting. While the industry continues to thrive, the opposition seems to grow larger each day.

With the US hosting the majority of the 2026 World Cup matches, soccer betting sites have plenty of reason to support the opposition. The influx of international visitors is expected to lead to a massive spike for sportsbooks, but that might not be the case if sports prediction markets continue to grow. 

What Visiting Gamblers Should Expect

While the US Supreme Court paved the way for legal sports betting, no federal framework for the industry was set up. Instead, each state that legalized sports betting was able to create its own rules and regulations. That means visiting bettors will need to check local laws before placing any wagers on the World Cup (or other events).

Visitors should also be wary of illegal operators. Many states have begun to crack down on these sportsbooks, but lack the legal power to enforce any penalties against them. While many have chosen to leave the US, they may return ahead of the highly anticipated tournament. We recommend verifying that a sportsbook is licensed by the state you are visiting before placing any wagers.

Michael is a writer from Denver who covers the sports betting industry for Casino.com. He has been covering the industry for over four years, focusing on providing accurate and easy-to-understand information for readers. When he’s not covering the industry, he’s betting on sports or exploring everything that Colorado has to offer.