BetMGM Stands With States Regarding Sports Prediction Markets

Photo by Derek Jensen via wikimedia commons
Key Takeaways
- MGM’s CEO shared that the company is not looking to offer prediction markets
- BetMGM leadership believes the markets are illegal and vowed to stand with states
- The CFTC recently advised prediction market operators that they could soon be forced to exit some markets
The country’s largest gambling convention was held last week, and BetMGM arguably stole the show.
MGM Resorts International CEO Bill Hornbuckle made some waves at the G2E (Global Gaming Expo) conference in Nevada. He joined a panel of CEOs who were asked about their thoughts on sports prediction markets. Hornbuckle broke with his peers by insisting BetMGM is not currently interested in entering the fast-expanding industry.
The CEOs from FanDuel and DraftKings offered noncommittal answers, further stoking the rumors around their impending entrance into the sports prediction industry.
MGM Stands with State Regulators…For Now
One of Hornbuckle’s first statements on sports prediction markets was in support of state regulators. He shared that three have issued warnings against offering the controversial markets, and that BetMGM would comply.
The position of states on the industry was a theme during the CEO’s stop at G2E. He committed to continuing to follow their regulations, though he did leave the door open for that to change in the future.
“When we have gaming regulators in three states now telling us ‘don’t do that,’ we have no choice but to take a position. Are we following it? Would we be a fast follower if, for some reason, it were to break through? Absolutely.” Horbuckle stated during the panel.
What Does MGM See That Their Rivals Don’t?
One reason the MGM CEO’s comments are making waves is that they offer a very different perspective in prediction markets.
When talking about potentially joining the new industry in the future, one line from Hornbuckle stood out: “Are we following it? Would we be a fast follower if, for some reason, it were to break through?”
When listening to executives from other sportsbooks, state lawmakers, and the American Gaming Association (AGA), it becomes clear they believe the success of sports prediction markets is a certainty. However, Hornbuckle’s small comment shows that he isn’t sold.
BetMGM leadership has also been clear about aligning with states when speaking with investors. They argue that sports prediction markets are illegal and dangerous, making it a bad investment for one of the largest gambling brands in the world.
Is Momentum Turning Against Prediction Markets?
While the comments from MGM stand out from the rest of the sports betting industry, they aren’t unfounded.
Sports prediction market operators are facing expensive legal battles as more states and tribes file lawsuits. They have been protected by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as those play out in court, but that could also be changing.
The CFTC, which currently has sole authority over the industry, sent out an advisory note letting operators know that state restrictions could be coming. That would end the ability for the platforms to operate in all 50 states, forcing them to geo-fence the markets.
The federal regulator remains without a leader after the White House’s nominee was pulled from consideration. Once a new nominee is approved, it could lead to the CFTC’s new stance changing overnight.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid. As an adult, Michael started picking games for a small sports betting site and has built it into a career. His experience allows him to provide tips and information to help other bettors improve their game. Michael cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams, the Arizona State Sun Devils (his alma mater), and the Ottawa Senators. He specializes in baseball betting but has extensive experience in football, basketball, and hockey. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children or hiking and enjoying the outdoors.
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