Fears Grow Over Impact of Prediction Markets on Young Bettors

Photo by https://pxhere.com/en/photo/1170475, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons
Key Takeaways
- Prediction markets have a minimum age of 18
- Most US sports betting markets require bettors to be at least 21 years old
- One Truist analyst believes bettors under 21 are wagering using prediction markets
As sportsbooks and prediction markets become increasingly intertwined, one key difference has remained: minimum age requirements.
The vast majority of regulated sportsbooks require all bettors to be at least 21. However, prediction markets have their minimum set at 18. Now, one Truist analyst believes younger bettors are driving the industry's rapid growth.
That theory has responsible gaming advocates concerned that a problem gambling catastrophe is coming.
Truist Analyst Shares Theory on Predictions
Truist Analyst Barry Jonas recently shared his thoughts on the industry in his 2026 US Gaming Sector Outlook. One area he discussed was the rising volume seen by sports prediction markets. While he attributed much of that growth to bettors in states without legal markets, he also shared a more troubling theory.
Jonas believes that bettors aged 18 to 20 are finding a home on prediction platforms. The group is more comfortable with the technology involved, which allows them to bet and win real money on sports.
While no firm demographic breakdowns were provided, Jonas pointed to the popularity of college prediction markets. While college football is one of the country’s biggest leagues, sportsbooks still see more wagers on the NBA and NFL.
That difference could be due to college-aged bettors backing their team.
Younger Bettors Have Higher Risk for Problem Gambling
One reason why sportsbooks and casinos set their minimum age requirement at 21 is to protect younger bettors. It gives them a few years after high school to adjust to the real world and step into adulthood. That raises their maturity, which is why most adult activities in the US set their minimum at 21.
Responsible gaming advocates fear that combining youth with an unfamiliar form of betting will lead to massive losses. This can drive them to make even larger wagers, hoping to solve their problems with “one big win.” This is a vicious cycle seen from those struggling with gambling addiction, which has led to tragic consequences for far too many in the US.
Problem Gambling Funds May Dwindle
Another concern is the potential drop in investment in problem gambling resources. Most US states use tax revenue from sports betting to fund resources for problem gambling. While it doesn’t prevent gambling addiction, these tools have helped save many Americans from sinking deeper into debt.
Prediction market operators haven’t made a significant impact on the sports betting industry yet, but that could change soon. With those platforms not contributing revenue to the states, the money used to fund the fight against problem gambling could dry up. This would lead to these tools going offline, leaving countless bettors to struggle with addiction on their own.
Michael is a writer from Denver who covers the sports betting industry for Casino.com. He has been covering the industry for over four years, focusing on providing accurate and easy-to-understand information for readers. When he’s not covering the industry, he’s betting on sports or exploring everything that Colorado has to offer.
Related News

Failed NCAA Gambling Investigation is Cause for Concern
A recent NCAA gambling investigation resulted in a symbolic punishment for two former players who refused to cooperate. While federal charges could be coming, the failure shows the limitations the NCAA has when investigating betting violations involving former athletes

NSFAS and NGB Launch Student Gambling Awareness Drive
South African student funding and gambling regulators are stepping in after concerns that education allowances are being misused on gambling.

BGC AGM 2026 Tim Miller outlines crypto review and fee increase plans
Tim Miller told BGC members the Commission is preparing for fee increases, expanding its illegal market crackdown and exploring a regulated pathway for crypto payments.

GambleAware sets out plan to change gambling behaviour at scale
A new GambleAware report argues gambling harms can only be reduced through coordinated communications, marketing reform and cultural change across Great Britain.

South African Gambler Faces Provisional Sequestration after R2.6m Betting Spree
A six-day online gambling binge and a bank system error ended in court, with Investec pursuing a provisional sequestration order.

Are States Without Sports Betting Fueling Problem Gambling
Some states continue to reject sports betting, but there is reason to believe their residents are still dealing with problem gambling. Between residents visiting legal markets and the spread of prediction markets, are sports betting bans fueling the crisis?

International Responsible Gaming Day 2026 focus
International Responsible Gaming Day on 17 February spotlights safer gambling measures, support services and industry responsibility.

Giannis Investment in Kalshi Raises Integrity Questions
The Mississippi House has passed HB 1581, which would expand the state’s retail sports betting market to include mobile wagering. It is the second consecutive term a bill has passed the House, but hurdles remain in the Senate.

Live gambling ads linked to higher betting during World Cup
Television gambling adverts aired during live World Cup matches increased betting frequency and likelihood, with researchers warning current UK ad rules may be insufficient.

New York Warns Bettors Against Predictions Ahead of Super Bowl
The New York Attorney General issued a consumer warning over prediction markets ahead of Super Bowl LX. She reminded the public that the industry lacks solid regulation and is exploiting a loophole to offer sports betting.

BetMGM Updates Its Terms to Address Athlete Harassment
BetMGM updated its terms and conditions to include a section on athlete harassment. It states that it will suspend or permanently ban bettors who harass athletes over lost wagers. The change comes ahead of the Winter Olympics and NCAA Tournament.

NCPG Announces New Toll-Free Problem Gambling Hotline
The NCPG has announced the launch of its new 1-800-MY-RESET nationwide problem gambling hotline. The new resources will replace the non-profit’s former 1-800-GAMBLER number, which another problem gambling group in New Jersey now operates.

GambleAware report highlights key learnings from stigma reduction campaign
A new GambleAware synthesis report shows how the ‘Let’s Open Up About Gambling’ campaign helped drive engagement, change behaviour and highlight persistent stigma, offering recommendations for future harm-reduction efforts.

Gambling Commission sets out enforcement and priorities in annual report
The Gambling Commission’s 2024–25 annual report details a year of enforcement activity, regulatory reform and operational change as the regulator prepares for the next phase of gambling oversight.

Is There a Problem Gambling Crisis Brewing in Illinois
The battle unfolding in Illinois between sportsbooks and lawmakers is driving up fees for bettors. It led many casual bettors to stop wagers, but those who stayed are spending more. That’s led to questions around how those struggling with addiction have reacted.

Public Opinion on Sports Betting Shifts, According to New Poll
A new poll found that public opinion has begun to shift against the sports betting industry, with people concerned over gambling addiction and betting scandals. The poll found that more people favor expanding sports betting in the US.

Wyoming Joins National Voluntary Self-Exclusion Program
Wyoming has joined idPair’s National Voluntary Self-Exclusion Program. Residents who sign up will be unable to use online sportsbooks, ending (most of) the targeted advertising they receive. This can help those struggling with addiction, though prediction markets are changing that.

The Dangers of Truth Social’s Impending Prediction Market Launch
Trump Media has announced it will launch a prediction market platform on Truth Social through a deal with Crypto.com. Those markets will include sports and present some very real dangers for Americans across the US.

NBA World Rocked By Arrests Tied to Illegal Gambling Ring
The NBA world was rocked today when the FBI arrested Chauncey Billups and Terry Rozier as part of an investigation into a larger gambling ring. The investigation took over four years and included four different mafia crime families.

Maryland Study Shows Alarming Spike in Problem Gambling
A study into problem gambling in Maryland showed a large spike since 2022, with two of five residents showing signs of problem gambling or at-risk behavior. The Hispanic and black populations saw the highest rates of problem gambling.

What to Know About the Future of the 1-800-GAMBLER Hotline
We’re diving into the legal fight over the 1-800-GAMBLER hotline after a court ordered control of it to be returned to the Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey. We’ll share how the battle affects the hotline and provide alternative resources.

Some Experts Fear Missouri is Not Ready for Problem Gambling
Missouri is well prepared for the launch of its sports betting market, but experts worry it isn’t ready for the corresponding spike in problem gambling. They are alarmed by a lack of resources, but hope the industry will help drive that change.

PPI Study Shows Problem Gambling Fallout Less Than Expected
A new PPI study into the new socioeconomic impact of sports betting showed that the negative financial impact of the industry is far lower than expected. The results contradict those from other studies and leave responsible gaming groups with a crucial choice.

Arizona State Men’s Basketball: A Tale of Two Betting Scandals
A former member of the ASU’s men’s basketball team is involved in an NCAA gambling investigation. The program was involved in an infamous point-shaving scandal almost 30 years ago, providing a case study to examine how gambling enforcement has evolved since then.

Dangers of Sports Prediction Markets Go Far Beyond Problem Gambling
The US sports prediction market industry will be far larger heading into the football season. With expanded bet types and more operators, many expect the new sector to see a ton of action. However, these controversial markets will also bring several dangers.

BetMGM Planning to Increase GameSense Messaging in the US
MGM and its BetMGM platform have announced they will be expanding their GameSense responsible gaming program in ten NFL stadiums ahead of the season’s start. The gambling giant also made a $200,00 donation to the International Center for Responsible Gaming.

CCGNJ Rejects Arbitration Request Over 1-800-Gambler Hotline
The Council on Compulsive Gambling of New Jersey has rejected a request for arbitration over a lease renewal for the 1-800-GAMBLER hotline from the National Council on Problem Gambling. The local council has said it plans to operate the number itself.

LLWS Officials Issue Scathing Statement Over Sports Betting
Officials from the Little League World Series have publicly condemned offshore sportsbooks for offering odds on the international youth baseball tournament. While the states have been working to push offshore operators out, many continue to operate in the US.

Key Problem Gambling Resource May Disappear By End of Summer
A battle over the 1-800-GAMBLER trademark is unfolding in a New Jersey court, raising concerns that the crucial problem gambling resource could go offline. A restraining order has kept it active, but it is set to expire when the football season begins.

Concern Over Problem Gambling from Prediction Markets Grows
Responsible gaming advocates are sounding amid layoffs at the CFTC. The regulator is currently has sole authority over controversial sports prediction markets, which some fear will lead to a massive spike in problem gambling over the next year.

DraftKings Agrees to Return $3 Million to Connecticut Bettors
DraftKings has agreed to refund over $3 million to online casino users in Connecticut as part of a settlement for violating the state’s advertising laws. The deal doesn’t require the operator to admit guilt, as they are fighting similar allegations in other markets.

New Partnership to Review Problem Gambling in the Military
BetMGM and FanDuel have partnered with the National Council on Problem Gambling to request that the US Senate fund a study on problem gambling in the military. The industry giants joined with the group a couple of weeks after it began the campaign.

Caesars Entertainment Celebrates 35th Anniversary of Project 21
Caesars Entertainment released its Corporate Social Responsibility Report for 2024, which celebrated the 35th anniversary of Project 21. The responsible gaming initiative was launched in 1984 and has helped lead to many industry practices used today.

